La Liga · Gameweek 10
Racing Santander vs Espanyol Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Racing Santander 40.7%
Prediction probabilities
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 67.7% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 68.2% in the model.
Racing Santander are 15th on 8 points after 8 matches; Espanyol are 12th on 8. In their last 5 league matches Racing Santander won 1 and Espanyol won 1.
Home and away form
Racing Santander at home
4 played · 2W · 2D · 0L
Goals per match: 2.3 scored · 1.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 11 Oct 2026 · Valencia · 2–2 (D)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Alaves · 2–1 (W)
- 28 Aug 2026 · Elche · 3–2 (W)
- 16 Aug 2026 · Villarreal · 2–2 (D)
Espanyol away
5 played · 2W · 1D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 9 Oct 2026 · Malaga · 1–1 (D)
- 15 Sept 2026 · Rayo Vallecano · 1–2 (L)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Osasuna · 2–0 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Real Sociedad · 1–2 (L)
- 17 May 2026 · Osasuna · 2–1 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67.7%Under 32.3%
- Both teams score
- 68.2%No 31.8%
- Predicted goals
- 1.79 – 1.70Total 3.49 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 18% · 17%Racing Santander · Espanyol
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86.4% | 13.6% |
| 2.5 | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| 3.5 | 46.1% | 53.9% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Racing Santander to score 1.79 goals and Espanyol 1.70. Its ratings have Racing Santander scoring at 1.18 times the model's La Liga average and conceding at 1.62 times, against 0.94 and 1.01 for Espanyol. How the model works.
Questions about Racing Santander vs Espanyol
Who is the favourite in Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
Our model's most likely result is Racing Santander win at 40.7%. Full probabilities: Racing Santander 40.7%, draw 22.6%, Espanyol 36.8%.
What is the most likely score in Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 9.4%. The model expects 1.79 goals for Racing Santander and 1.70 for Espanyol.
Will Racing Santander vs Espanyol have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 67.7% and both teams to score 68.2%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,358
- Model version
- dc-v4-72400b7e955d
- Data source
- Finished La Liga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.