La Liga · Gameweek 10
Real Sociedad vs Levante Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Real Sociedad 53.6%
Prediction probabilities
Real Sociedad vs Levante: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 60.8% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 60.3% in the model.
Real Sociedad are 6th on 13 points after 8 matches; Levante are 17th on 6. In 6 La Liga meetings since 2020-21, Real Sociedad won 3, Levante won 2 and 1 was drawn. They last met on 4 Apr 2026: Real Sociedad 2–0 Levante. In their last 5 league matches Real Sociedad won 3 and Levante won 1.
Home and away form
Real Sociedad at home
5 played · 2W · 1D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.6 scored · 2.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 11 Oct 2026 · Deportivo La Coruna · 3–2 (W)
- 13 Sept 2026 · Atletico Madrid · 0–3 (L)
- 3 Sept 2026 · Celta Vigo · 0–0 (D)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Espanyol · 2–1 (W)
- 17 May 2026 · Valencia · 3–4 (L)
Levante away
5 played · 0W · 2D · 3L
Goals per match: 0.4 scored · 1.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 20 Sept 2026 · Villarreal · 1–3 (L)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Malaga · 0–0 (D)
- 24 Aug 2026 · Osasuna · 0–0 (D)
- 16 Aug 2026 · Espanyol · 0–3 (L)
- 23 May 2026 · Real Betis · 1–2 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60.8%Under 39.2%
- Both teams score
- 60.3%No 39.7%
- Predicted goals
- 1.92 – 1.22Total 3.14 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 30% · 15%Real Sociedad · Levante
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82.3% | 17.8% |
| 2.5 | 60.8% | 39.2% |
| 3.5 | 38.4% | 61.6% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Real Sociedad to score 1.92 goals and Levante 1.22. Its ratings have Real Sociedad scoring at 1.10 times the model's La Liga average and conceding at 1.02 times, against 1.07 and 1.16 for Levante. How the model works.
Questions about Real Sociedad vs Levante
Who is the favourite in Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Our model's most likely result is Real Sociedad win at 53.6%. Full probabilities: Real Sociedad 53.6%, draw 22.5%, Levante 23.9%.
What is the most likely score in Real Sociedad vs Levante?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 10.3%. The model expects 1.92 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.22 for Levante.
Will Real Sociedad vs Levante have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 60.8% and both teams to score 60.3%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,358
- Model version
- dc-v4-72400b7e955d
- Data source
- Finished La Liga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.