Championship · Gameweek 17
Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: West Bromwich Albion 41.6%
Championship online record: 28 of 61 most likely results correct (46%). Forecasts fixed before kickoff. Home-team baseline: 30/61 (49%). Bolton Wanderers: 2 of 5. West Bromwich Albion: 2 of 5. See every prediction ›
Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion: prediction analysis
Bolton Wanderers are 18th on 17 points, while West Bromwich Albion are sixth on 28 points. Bolton Wanderers have won one of their last five, compared with three wins for West Bromwich Albion. Each side has one win in two meetings, with West Bromwich Albion winning the last meeting 2-0 on 21 Jan 2019. Bolton Wanderers have won two of seven at home, while West Bromwich Albion have won four of seven away.
Team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Home and away form
Bolton Wanderers at home
5 played · 1W · 0D · 4L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 2.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 31 Oct 2026 · Bristol City · 2–3 (L)
- 23 Oct 2026 · Middlesbrough · 1–5 (L)
- 10 Oct 2026 · Stoke City · 1–2 (L)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Cardiff City · 1–0 (W)
- 8 Sept 2026 · West Ham · 2–3 (L)
West Bromwich Albion away
5 played · 3W · 1D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 31 Oct 2026 · West Ham · 3–1 (W)
- 24 Oct 2026 · Preston North End · 1–1 (D)
- 13 Oct 2026 · Wrexham · 2–1 (W)
- 20 Sept 2026 · Wolverhampton · 0–1 (L)
- 9 Sept 2026 · Derby County · 1–0 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion: attack and defence ratings
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.1%Under 49.9%
- Both teams score
- 54.5%No 45.5%
- Predicted goals
- 1.24 – 1.44Total 2.68 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 24% · 29%Bolton Wanderers · West Bromwich Albion
Most likely scores
1–1 is the most likely single score (12.5%), but more scorelines end in West Bromwich Albion winning, so that is the most likely result (41.6%).
All goal lines and definitions
| Total goals line | Over probability | Under probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| 2.5 | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| 3.5 | 28.1% | 71.9% |
Historical club rates: over 2.5 goals · BTTS. These are separate from this forecast.
Definitions: expected goals · Dixon–Coles · over/under and BTTS.
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Bolton Wanderers to score 1.24 goals and West Bromwich Albion 1.44. Its ratings have Bolton Wanderers scoring at 1.00 times the model's Championship average and conceding at 1.28 times, against 0.96 and 0.85 for West Bromwich Albion. Full methodology.
Questions about Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion
Who is the favourite in Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?
Our model's most likely result is West Bromwich Albion win at 41.6%. Full probabilities: Bolton Wanderers 32.1%, draw 26.3%, West Bromwich Albion 41.6%.
What is the most likely score in Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 12.5%. The model expects 1.24 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.44 for West Bromwich Albion.
Will Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 50.1% and both teams to score 54.5%.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-11-12
- Matches used
- 6,600
- Model version
- dc-v4-fe5b51c95edf
- Data source
- Finished Championship scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.
Keep going
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