Serie A · Gameweek 12
Juventus vs Venezia Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Juventus 65.0%
Serie A online record: 33 of 50 most likely results correct (66%). Forecasts fixed before kickoff. Home-team baseline: 23/50 (46%). Juventus: 2 of 5. Venezia: 3 of 5. See every prediction ›
Juventus vs Venezia: prediction analysis
Juventus are 7th in Serie A with 18 points, while Venezia are 19th with 6 points. Juventus’ recent form is DWLWL and Venezia’s is WLLLW. Across 4 meetings since 2021-22, Juventus have 2 wins and Venezia none, with 2 draws. Juventus won the last meeting 3-2 on 25 May 2025; at home Juventus have 3 wins from 5, while Venezia have lost all 5 away matches.
Team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Home and away form
Juventus at home
5 played · 3W · 1D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 1 Nov 2026 · Napoli · 2–0 (W)
- 18 Oct 2026 · Lazio · 0–3 (L)
- 20 Sept 2026 · Atalanta · 2–0 (W)
- 6 Sept 2026 · AC Milan · 1–1 (D)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Parma · 2–0 (W)
Venezia away
5 played · 0W · 0D · 5L
Goals per match: 0.6 scored · 2.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 1 Nov 2026 · Como · 0–1 (L)
- 25 Oct 2026 · Genoa · 0–1 (L)
- 12 Oct 2026 · Atalanta · 1–3 (L)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Frosinone · 2–3 (L)
- 28 Aug 2026 · AC Milan · 0–2 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Juventus vs Venezia: attack and defence ratings
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45.4%Under 54.6%
- Both teams score
- 41.0%No 59.0%
- Predicted goals
- 1.82 – 0.67Total 2.49 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 51% · 16%Juventus · Venezia
Most likely scores
No single score is likely: even the most likely, 1–0, happens only 15.0% of the time.
All goal lines and definitions
| Total goals line | Over probability | Under probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71.2% | 28.8% |
| 2.5 | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| 3.5 | 24.1% | 75.9% |
Historical club rates: over 2.5 goals · BTTS. These are separate from this forecast.
Definitions: expected goals · Dixon–Coles · over/under and BTTS.
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Juventus to score 1.82 goals and Venezia 0.67. Its ratings have Juventus scoring at 1.21 times the model's Serie A average and conceding at 0.73 times, against 0.76 and 1.13 for Venezia. Full methodology.
Questions about Juventus vs Venezia
Who is the favourite in Juventus vs Venezia?
Our model's most likely result is Juventus win at 65.0%. Full probabilities: Juventus 65.0%, draw 22.1%, Venezia 12.9%.
What is the most likely score in Juventus vs Venezia?
1–0 is the single most likely score at 15.0%. The model expects 1.82 goals for Juventus and 0.67 for Venezia.
Will Juventus vs Venezia have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 45.4% and both teams to score 41.0%.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-11-11
- Matches used
- 4,560
- Model version
- dc-v4-eebb108c6b41
- Data source
- Finished Serie A scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.
Keep going
Explore how upcoming results change the Serie A season outlook →