Bundesliga · independent league model
Bundesliga 2026-27 Gameweek 9: Predictions and Results
Gameweek 9 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga runs from 6 Nov 2026 to 8 Nov 2026 with 9 published matches. The model's strongest favourite is Bayern Munich at 67.4% against Mainz.
9 gameweek 9 matches with a published pre-match prediction are complete. The model's most likely result happened in 8 of them. The least expected result was Paderborn 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt, which the model gave 28.4%.
| Match | Kickoff | Model % 1 / X / 2 | Likely | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HamburgBorussia Monchengladbach | 39 / 27 / 34 | 1–1 | 3–1 | |
| RB LeipzigAugsburg | 64 / 20 / 16 | 2–1 | 5–2 | |
| Borussia DortmundElversberg | 66 / 19 / 16 | 2–1 | 2–1 | |
| MainzBayern Munich | 15 / 18 / 67 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| PaderbornEintracht Frankfurt | 37 / 28 / 35 | 1–1 | 2–2 | |
| StuttgartWerder Bremen | 61 / 21 / 19 | 2–1 | 1–0 | |
| FC CologneBayer Leverkusen | 24 / 24 / 52 | 1–1 | 1–2 | |
| FreiburgUnion Berlin | 55 / 24 / 20 | 1–1 | 2–0 | |
| HoffenheimSchalke | 55 / 25 / 20 | 1–1 | 2–1 |
How the predictions did
- Least expected result
- Paderborn 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt
- Matches scored
- 9
- Model's most likely result happened
- 8 of 9
- Accuracy score (log loss)
- 0.643
One round is a small sample. See the long-run model record.
Sources and model limits
Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2005-06: football-data.co.uk. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.
The source carries exact kickoff times from 2019-20. Earlier seasons give the date only and are read as a 15:00 kickoff in the competition's own timezone, which keeps those results out of training until three hours later.
No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Bundesliga. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.