Serie A · independent league model
Serie A 2026-27 Gameweek 11: Predictions and Results
Gameweek 11 of the 2026-27 Serie A runs from 6 Nov 2026 to 8 Nov 2026 with 10 published matches. The model's strongest favourite is Roma at 67.8% against Sassuolo.
10 gameweek 11 matches with a published pre-match prediction are complete. The model's most likely result happened in 5 of them. The least expected result was Fiorentina 2–2 Juventus, which the model gave 26.6%.
| Match | Kickoff | Model % 1 / X / 2 | Likely | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VeneziaUdinese | 30 / 28 / 42 | 1–1 | 2–1 | |
| TorinoLecce | 48 / 28 / 24 | 1–0 | 1–1 | |
| CagliariFrosinone | 27 / 23 / 49 | 1–1 | 1–0 | |
| ParmaBologna | 26 / 29 / 45 | 0–1 | 1–2 | |
| RomaSassuolo | 68 / 18 / 14 | 2–0 | 3–0 | |
| NapoliLazio | 44 / 27 / 29 | 1–1 | 1–1 | |
| GenoaAC Milan | 24 / 26 / 50 | 0–1 | 1–2 | |
| MonzaAtalanta | 20 / 21 / 59 | 1–2 | 0–1 | |
| Inter MilanComo | 50 / 24 / 26 | 1–1 | 2–0 | |
| FiorentinaJuventus | 27 / 27 / 46 | 1–1 | 2–2 |
How the predictions did
- Least expected result
- Fiorentina 2–2 Juventus
- Matches scored
- 10
- Model's most likely result happened
- 5 of 10
- Accuracy score (log loss)
- 0.952
One round is a small sample. See the long-run model record.
Sources and model limits
Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2005-06: football-data.co.uk. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.
The source carries exact kickoff times from 2019-20. Earlier seasons give the date only and are read as a 15:00 kickoff in the competition's own timezone, which keeps those results out of training until three hours later.
No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Serie A. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.