Bundesliga · Gameweek 10
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Eintracht Frankfurt 48.2%
Bundesliga online record: 21 of 36 most likely results correct (58%). Forecasts fixed before kickoff. Home-team baseline: 18/36 (50%). See every prediction ›
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim: prediction analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th with 12 points, while Hoffenheim are 9th with 12 points. Frankfurt’s recent form is DWLWL, compared with Hoffenheim’s WLWWL. Across 34 meetings, Frankfurt have 14 wins, Hoffenheim 11 and there have been 9 draws; Hoffenheim won the last meeting 3-1 on 24 Jan 2026. Frankfurt have won 2 of 4 at home, while Hoffenheim have won 1 of 4 away.
Team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Home and away form
Eintracht Frankfurt at home
5 played · 2W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.8 scored · 1.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 1 Nov 2026 · Hamburg · 3–1 (W)
- 16 Oct 2026 · Fc Cologne · 1–0 (W)
- 19 Sept 2026 · Freiburg · 2–2 (D)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Augsburg · 1–4 (L)
- 16 May 2026 · Stuttgart · 2–2 (D)
Hoffenheim away
5 played · 1W · 0D · 4L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 2.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 31 Oct 2026 · Werder Bremen · 0–2 (L)
- 18 Oct 2026 · Borussia Monchengladbach · 2–1 (W)
- 20 Sept 2026 · Paderborn · 1–3 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Fc Cologne · 2–3 (L)
- 16 May 2026 · Borussia Monchengladbach · 0–4 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim: attack and defence ratings
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72.7%Under 27.4%
- Both teams score
- 71.7%No 28.3%
- Predicted goals
- 2.12 – 1.65Total 3.77 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 19% · 12%Eintracht Frankfurt · Hoffenheim
Most likely scores
1–1 is the most likely single score (8.6%), but more scorelines end in Eintracht Frankfurt winning, so that is the most likely result (48.2%).
All goal lines and definitions
| Total goals line | Over probability | Under probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89.6% | 10.4% |
| 2.5 | 72.7% | 27.4% |
| 3.5 | 52.1% | 47.9% |
Historical club rates: over 2.5 goals · BTTS. These are separate from this forecast.
Definitions: expected goals · Dixon–Coles · over/under and BTTS.
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Eintracht Frankfurt to score 2.12 goals and Hoffenheim 1.65. Its ratings have Eintracht Frankfurt scoring at 1.18 times the model's Bundesliga average and conceding at 1.07 times, against 1.17 and 1.08 for Hoffenheim. Full methodology.
Questions about Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim
Who is the favourite in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim?
Our model's most likely result is Eintracht Frankfurt win at 48.2%. Full probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 48.2%, draw 22.0%, Hoffenheim 29.8%.
What is the most likely score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 8.6%. The model expects 2.12 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.65 for Hoffenheim.
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 72.7% and both teams to score 71.7%.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-11-12
- Matches used
- 3,654
- Model version
- dc-v4-285780ead747
- Data source
- Finished Bundesliga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.
Keep going
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