La Liga · independent league model
La Liga 2026-27 Gameweek 12: Predictions and Results
Gameweek 12 of the 2026-27 La Liga runs from 6 Nov 2026 to 8 Nov 2026 with 10 published matches. The model's strongest favourite is Villarreal at 58.4% against Getafe.
10 gameweek 12 matches with a published pre-match prediction are complete. The model's most likely result happened in 5 of them. The least expected result was Celta Vigo 0–0 Levante, which the model gave 24.2%.
| Match | Kickoff | Model % 1 / X / 2 | Likely | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SevillaAlaves | 47 / 26 / 27 | 1–1 | 0–0 | |
| MalagaRacing Santander | 47 / 23 / 30 | 1–1 | 1–2 | |
| EspanyolDeportivo La Coruna | 41 / 28 / 31 | 1–1 | 0–0 | |
| OsasunaAthletic Club | 35 / 29 / 36 | 1–1 | 1–1 | |
| ValenciaReal Madrid | 19 / 24 / 57 | 0–1 | 0–3 | |
| ElcheReal Betis | 36 / 26 / 38 | 1–1 | 0–2 | |
| Real SociedadRayo Vallecano | 50 / 26 / 24 | 1–1 | 1–0 | |
| Celta VigoLevante | 52 / 24 / 24 | 1–1 | 0–0 | |
| VillarrealGetafe | 58 / 25 / 17 | 1–0 | 2–0 | |
| Atletico MadridBarcelona | 35 / 24 / 42 | 1–1 | 1–2 |
How the predictions did
- Least expected result
- Celta Vigo 0–0 Levante
- Matches scored
- 10
- Model's most likely result happened
- 5 of 10
- Accuracy score (log loss)
- 1.013
One round is a small sample. See the long-run model record.
Sources and model limits
Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2005-06: football-data.co.uk. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.
The source carries exact kickoff times from 2019-20. Earlier seasons give the date only and are read as a 15:00 kickoff in the competition's own timezone, which keeps those results out of training until three hours later.
No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for La Liga. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.