La Liga · Gameweek 13
Sevilla vs Real Betis Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Real Betis 38.1%
La Liga online record: 26 of 41 most likely results correct (63%). Forecasts fixed before kickoff. Home-team baseline: 17/41 (41%). See every prediction ›
Sevilla vs Real Betis: prediction analysis
Sevilla are 6th on 18 points after 12 matches; Real Betis are 4th on 26. In 36 La Liga meetings since 2005-06, Sevilla won 17, Real Betis won 7 and 12 were drawn. They last met on 1 Mar 2026: Real Betis 2–2 Sevilla. In their last 5 league matches Sevilla won 1 and Real Betis won 3.
Team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Home and away form
Sevilla at home
5 played · 2W · 1D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 6 Nov 2026 · Alaves · 0–0 (D)
- 26 Oct 2026 · Osasuna · 2–0 (W)
- 19 Sept 2026 · Barcelona · 1–3 (L)
- 11 Sept 2026 · Valencia · 1–0 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Atletico Madrid · 1–3 (L)
Real Betis away
5 played · 2W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded
Results in this sample
- 8 Nov 2026 · Elche · 2–0 (W)
- 25 Oct 2026 · Celta Vigo · 0–0 (D)
- 20 Sept 2026 · Deportivo La Coruna · 1–1 (D)
- 14 Sept 2026 · Villarreal · 2–1 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Levante · 2–5 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Sevilla vs Real Betis: attack and defence ratings
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52.3%Under 47.7%
- Both teams score
- 56.6%No 43.4%
- Predicted goals
- 1.36 – 1.41Total 2.77 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 24% · 26%Sevilla · Real Betis
Most likely scores
1–1 is the most likely single score (12.5%), but more scorelines end in Real Betis winning, so that is the most likely result (38.1%).
All goal lines and definitions
| Total goals line | Over probability | Under probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76.8% | 23.2% |
| 2.5 | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| 3.5 | 30.1% | 69.9% |
Historical club rates: over 2.5 goals · BTTS. These are separate from this forecast.
Definitions: expected goals · Dixon–Coles · over/under and BTTS.
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Sevilla to score 1.36 goals and Real Betis 1.41. Its ratings have Sevilla scoring at 1.02 times the model's La Liga average and conceding at 1.04 times, against 1.22 and 0.90 for Real Betis. Full methodology.
Questions about Sevilla vs Real Betis
Who is the favourite in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Our model's most likely result is Real Betis win at 38.1%. Full probabilities: Sevilla 35.6%, draw 26.3%, Real Betis 38.1%.
What is the most likely score in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 12.5%. The model expects 1.36 goals for Sevilla and 1.41 for Real Betis.
Will Sevilla vs Real Betis have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 52.3% and both teams to score 56.6%.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-11-12
- Matches used
- 4,569
- Model version
- dc-v4-0ed24532093f
- Data source
- Finished La Liga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.
Keep going
Explore how upcoming results change the La Liga season outlook →