Championship · independent league model
Championship 2026-27 Gameweek 15: Predictions and Results
Gameweek 15 of the 2026-27 Championship runs from 6 Nov 2026 to 7 Nov 2026 with 12 published matches. The model's strongest favourite is Southampton at 55.3% against Preston North End.
12 gameweek 15 matches with a published pre-match prediction are complete. The model's most likely result happened in 4 of them. The least expected result was Preston North End 1–0 Southampton, which the model gave 21.8%.
| Match | Kickoff | Model % 1 / X / 2 | Likely | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby CountyBolton Wanderers | 46 / 25 / 29 | 1–1 | 3–1 | |
| WrexhamWolverhampton | 36 / 25 / 39 | 1–1 | 1–1 | |
| PortsmouthStoke City | 42 / 28 / 30 | 1–1 | 1–2 | |
| Bristol CityNorwich City | 39 / 26 / 35 | 1–1 | 0–5 | |
| Queens Park RangersLincoln City | 52 / 25 / 24 | 1–1 | 2–1 | |
| Cardiff CityBurnley | 30 / 26 / 44 | 1–1 | 5–4 | |
| Charlton AthleticSheffield United | 28 / 29 / 44 | 1–1 | 2–1 | |
| WatfordMiddlesbrough | 28 / 26 / 46 | 1–1 | 0–0 | |
| Blackburn RoversWest Ham | 28 / 23 / 49 | 1–1 | 2–1 | |
| West Bromwich AlbionMillwall | 42 / 29 / 30 | 1–1 | 3–0 | |
| Preston North EndSouthampton | 22 / 23 / 55 | 1–1 | 1–0 | |
| Birmingham CitySwansea City | 45 / 27 / 28 | 1–1 | 2–1 |
How the predictions did
- Least expected result
- Preston North End 1–0 Southampton
- Matches scored
- 12
- Model's most likely result happened
- 4 of 12
- Accuracy score (log loss)
- 1.113
One round is a small sample. See the long-run model record.
Sources and model limits
Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2005-06: football-data.co.uk. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.
The source carries exact kickoff times from 2019-20. Earlier seasons give the date only and are read as a 15:00 kickoff in the competition's own timezone, which keeps those results out of training until three hours later.
No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Championship. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.