2026-27 · Fri, 6 Nov 2026, 20:00 GMT
Premier League gameweek 10: results vs predictions
10 gameweek 10 matches with a published pre-match prediction are complete. The model's most likely result happened in 7 of them. The least expected result was Nottingham Forest 3–1 Manchester City, which the model gave 22.7%.
Gameweek 10 of the 2026-27 Premier League runs from 6 Nov 2026 to 8 Nov 2026 with 10 published matches. The model's strongest favourite is Arsenal at 63.9% against Hull City.
| Match | Kickoff | Model % 1 / X / 2 | Likely | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EvertonCoventry City | 58 / 24 / 18 | 1–1 | 3–1 | |
| Leeds UnitedTottenham | 38 / 29 / 33 | 1–1 | 1–0 | |
| ArsenalHull City | 64 / 25 / 12 | 1–0 | 1–0 | |
| FulhamNewcastle | 40 / 28 / 33 | 1–1 | 1–1 | |
| Nottingham ForestManchester City | 23 / 27 / 51 | 1–1 | 3–1 | |
| Crystal PalaceLiverpool | 24 / 24 / 52 | 1–1 | 1–3 | |
| SunderlandChelsea | 39 / 25 / 36 | 1–1 | 1–0 | |
| IpswichBournemouth | 27 / 24 / 50 | 1–1 | 1–2 | |
| BrightonBrentford | 46 / 25 / 29 | 1–1 | 2–0 | |
| Manchester UnitedAston Villa | 38 / 24 / 38 | 1–1 | 4–4 |
How the predictions did
- Least expected result
- Nottingham Forest 3–1 Manchester City
- Matches scored
- 10
- Model's most likely result happened
- 7 of 10
- Accuracy score (log loss)
- 0.924
One round is a small sample. See the long-run model record.
Probabilities are not guarantees.