Premier League · next 14 days

Premier League predictions

Gameweek 6 of the 2026-27 Premier League runs from 10 Oct 2026 to 12 Oct 2026 with 10 published matches. The model's strongest favourite is Arsenal at 63.8% against Leeds United. The widest model-market gap is Hull City vs Everton: 30.2% for Everton win in the model against 45.6% in the market.

Gameweek 6

Gameweek page ›

Sat 10 Oct, 11:30Arsenal -5.3% vs odds

Leeds United13%

Draw 23%1X2 1.38 · 4.75 · 7.50Likely 2–0

Sat 10 Oct, 14:00Brighton: in line with odds

Draw 28%1X2 2.85 · 3.45 · 2.30Likely 1–1

Sat 10 Oct, 14:00Chelsea -9.2% vs odds

Draw 25%1X2 1.70 · 4.00 · 4.20Likely 1–1

Sat 10 Oct, 14:00Fulham +11.2% vs odds

Draw 26%1X2 2.65 · 3.40 · 2.45Likely 1–1

Sat 10 Oct, 14:00Aston Villa +5.1% vs odds

Draw 26%1X2 2.60 · 3.50 · 2.50Likely 1–1

Sat 10 Oct, 16:30Manchester United -4.3% vs odds

Manchester United52%

Draw 24%1X2 1.68 · 4.10 · 4.20Likely 1–1

Sun 11 Oct, 13:00Hull City +11.4% vs odds

Draw 32%1X2 3.45 · 3.35 · 2.08Likely 1–1

Sun 11 Oct, 13:00Crystal Palace: in line with odds

Crystal Palace37%

Nottingham Forest34%

Draw 29%1X2 2.60 · 3.25 · 2.65Likely 1–1

Sun 11 Oct, 15:30Manchester City +4.5% vs odds

Manchester City42%

Draw 26%1X2 2.50 · 3.55 · 2.50Likely 1–1

Mon 12 Oct, 19:00Newcastle +12.2% vs odds

Coventry City19%

Draw 25%1X2 3.10 · 3.50 · 2.08Likely 1–1

Gameweek 7

Gameweek page ›

Sat 17 Oct, 11:30Chelsea -4.5% vs odds

Draw 29%1X2 2.75 · 3.55 · 2.25Likely 1–1

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00Fulham -16.3% vs odds

Draw 30%1X2 1.64 · 3.90 · 4.50Likely 1–1

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00Manchester City +8.0% vs odds

Manchester City85%

Draw 10%1X2 1.22 · 6.25 · 9.00Likely 3–0

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00Liverpool: in line with odds

Draw 26%1X2 2.65 · 3.65 · 2.30Likely 1–1

Sat 17 Oct, 16:30Newcastle: in line with odds

Draw 25%1X2 2.02 · 3.60 · 3.15Likely 1–1

Sun 18 Oct, 13:00Bournemouth: in line with odds

Draw 28%1X2 1.98 · 3.40 · 3.40Likely 1–1

Sun 18 Oct, 13:00Manchester United -4.0% vs odds

Leeds United36%

Manchester United37%

Draw 27%1X2 2.75 · 3.55 · 2.25Likely 1–1

Sun 18 Oct, 13:00Brighton -6.1% vs odds

Crystal Palace22%

Draw 25%1X2 1.55 · 4.10 · 4.90Likely 1–1

Sun 18 Oct, 15:30Arsenal -6.9% vs odds

Nottingham Forest21%

Draw 27%1X2 5.00 · 3.85 · 1.58Likely 1–1

Probabilities are not guarantees. A gap between the model and the market is not evidence of a betting edge.

Long-run model record · How the probabilities are made